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The news and analysis archive

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The news and analysis archive
Will oil surge after US bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities?

Will oil surge after US bombing of Iran’s nuclear facil...

·       Although both Israel and the US are now ready for de-escalation, Iran may not give up easily due to domestic political compulsion ·       The US has to provide Iran some ‘o...

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23
Jun

In the week ahead: Core PCE Price Index, U.S. GDP, Powe...

The US Dollar traded mostly unchanged against its major peers on Friday, hovering near two-week highs, with the US Dollar Index (USDX) fluctuating within a tight range for the past...

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Stocks and gold wobbled on Trump’s Iran and tech war suspense

Stocks and gold wobbled on Trump’s Iran and tech war su...

·       Iran war may linger more than two weeks; Oil may gain as Iran rejects further talks with the US unless Israel stops the aggression ·       China may be actively supporting ...

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20
Jun

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, FOMC Monetary Policy Re...

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is extending its losses for a second consecutive day, trading lower around 98.70 as markets brace for the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Report due Fr...

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19
Jun

Mideast Turmoil Shakes Global Markets, UK Interest Rate...

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is extending its gains for a third consecutive session, trading higher around 99.10 during Asian hours on Thursday. The Greenback continues to strengthen...

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Dow, Gold slips on a hawkish hold by the Fed; USD surged

Dow, Gold slips on a hawkish hold by the Fed; USD surge...

·       Fed may cut 25 bps each in September/October and December’25; if Trump’s tariff takes a definitive shape by then, with a weighted average rate of 15.5% ·       In that scen...

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18
Jun

FOMC Statement, US Jobless Claims, US Housing Starts

The US Dollar Index (USDX) saw little movement on Wednesday, trading around 98.70 during Asian hours, as traders adopted caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisi...

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Gold, Stocks wobbled on Trump’s flip-flops on Iran mini war

Gold, Stocks wobbled on Trump’s flip-flops on Iran mini...

·       Trump may be trying for last-minute diplomacy with Iran before going to destroy Iran’s suspected underground nuke facilities with a bunker-busting bomb  ·       Trump’s abr...

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17
Jun

Israel-Iran conflict escalates, Oil & Gold Rattled, All...

The US dollar traded almost unchanged for yet another session on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) registering a mere 0.13% loss on the iFOREX platform. This comes as the deadly...

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Oil spikes on escalated Iran-Israel mini war; what’s next?

Oil spikes on escalated Iran-Israel mini war; what’s ne...

·       If Israel indeed targets Iranian oil & gas facilities in response to Iran’s missile attack on Israeli civilian areas, oil may further surge to $85-105 ·       As of now, th...

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16
Jun

Global Tensions & G7 Weigh on Markets, Oil Surges, Fed ...

The US dollar traded almost unchanged on Friday, with the dollar index (USDX) registering a mere 0.17% loss on the iFOREX platform, as markets shifted focus to the escalating confl...

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The Fed may treat the current lower US core inflation as transitory

The Fed may treat the current lower US core inflation a...

·       Wall Street wobbled, while USD, Gold, and Oil spiked amid Israel-Iran escalating conflict; Fed may not cut before September’25 despite Trump pressure ·       The fine print...

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13
Jun

Israel Attacks Iranian Nuclear Sites; National Security...

The US dollar registered another decline on Thursday, with the dollar index (USDX) closing 0.78% lower on the iFOREX platform. This move followed rising tensions in the Middle East...

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Stocks slid on Trump’s China trade and Iran war tensions

Stocks slid on Trump’s China trade and Iran war tension...

·       Oil and Gold spiked on escalating Iran-Israel warmongering and evacuation of US personnel from Iraq and other potentially risky Middle East locations ·       Although Trump...

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12
Jun

U.S. Core PPI, U.S. Jobless Claims, Adobe Earnings

The US dollar registered a minor decline on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) closing marginally lower by 0.24% on the iFOREX platform. Despite some easing in US-China trade ...

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Wall Street almost flat on US-China trade deal suspense

Wall Street almost flat on US-China trade deal suspense

• But US stock futures surged after Trump announced a dramatic US-China trade deal on Truth, while US core CPI came slightly colder than expected ·       The day of the London talk...

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11
Jun

U.S. Core CPI, Federal Budget Balance, Oracle Earnings

The US dollar traded nearly unchanged on Tuesday, with the dollar index (USDX) closing marginally higher by 0.04% on the iFOREX platform. The dollar index initially gained but late...

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10
Jun

In the week ahead: U.S. Core CPI & PPI, U.K. GDP, UoM C...

The US dollar registered moderate losses against most major currencies on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) closing 0.09% lower on the iFOREX platform. Market attention is now s...

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Nifty, Bank Nifty jumped on the RBI bazooka; what’s next?

Nifty, Bank Nifty jumped on the RBI bazooka; what’s nex...

·       Despite the strange reversal to a neutral stance, the RBI may continue to cut 25 bps every alternate meeting going forward, following the Fed. ·       RBI cuts 100 bps in H...

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Fed may not cut before September’25 despite Trump's pressure

Fed may not cut before September’25 despite Trump's pre...

·       Fed will also treat any tariff inflation as transitory and thus may not hike rates, but will be in wait & watch mode till at least August’25 ·       Musk’s separation from ...

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