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The news and analysis archive

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The news and analysis archive
26
Jul

Core PCE Price Index, Consumer Spending, UoM Consumer S...

The dollar showed little change against most major currencies on Thursday, with the dollar index (USDX) trading within a tight range between levels 103.85 and 104.31 since the begi...

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Oil, Gold, Dow wobbled on hopes & hypes of Gaza war ceasefire

Oil, Gold, Dow wobbled on hopes & hypes of Gaza war cea...

·         Also hotter than expected US GDP and core deflator data may support the Fed's stance of wait & watch till Dec’24 Oil stumbled over -6% in July (till date) on hopes & hop...

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25
Jul

U.S. Advance GDP, U.S. Unemployment Claims, U.S. Durabl...

The dollar slipped against most major currencies on Wednesday, continuing a downward trend from the previous session, with the dollar index (USDX) down by 0.08%. Growing expectatio...

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24
Jul

German, U.K. and U.S. Flash Manufacturing and Services,...

The dollar showed little volatility on Tuesday, with the dollar index (USDX) hovering around the 104.2 mark as uncertainty over the U.S. presidential race and anticipation of inter...

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Wall Street tumbled on subdued tech earnings and hotter PMI

Wall Street tumbled on subdued tech earnings and hotter...

·         Overall, S&P PMI and retail sales data indicate upbeat economic activities and hotter RM cost pressure, which may cause slower disinflation in Q3 On Monday, Wall Street ...

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ECB may not cut again in Sep’24; has to follow Fed from Dec’24

ECB may not cut again in Sep’24; has to follow Fed from...

·         EURUSD was also supported by the unexpected election win (final round) by the Macron-led center-left alliance in France against far-right Le Pen On 18th July, some focus...

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23
Jul

EU Consumer Confidence, Existing Home Sales, Richmond M...

The dollar held up strongly against most major currencies on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) trading in a tight range between levels 103.9 and 104.16 for the past two sessions...

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Gold and Dow slid on fading hopes of a Trump 2.0 Trifecta

Gold and Dow slid on fading hopes of a Trump 2.0 Trifec...

·         After Biden’s pre-mature exit from the White House race, techs recovered on fading concern of an imminent AI tech restriction on China ·         Unlike ailing & senile Bi...

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Using Heikin Ashi Candles - Heikin Ashi Candlestick Patterns

Using Heikin Ashi Candles - Heikin Ashi Candlestick Pat...

Candlestick charts tell you plenty of useful information about what prices did during a trading session. They tell you where prices started off, the high and low points they touche...

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22
Jul

In the week ahead: BOC Rate Statement, U.S. GDP, Core P...

The U.S. dollar gained for a second session against most major currencies on Friday, with the dollar index (USDX) extending its rally above the 104.0 mark to end the week 0.31% hig...

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Nifty soared on hopes of a blockbuster budget but stumbled

Nifty soared on hopes of a blockbuster budget but stumb...

·         After the budget, the focus may be on state elections; if Modi loses badly, then he may have to exit gracefully by Dec’25 on the 75-yrs age retirement policy in the BJP ...

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Gold, Dow, Bonds stumbled on hawkish Fed talks; techs tumbled

Gold, Dow, Bonds stumbled on hawkish Fed talks; techs t...

·         Trump may face hurdle in election as ailing & senile Biden set to exit the race, paving the way for younger/smarter/experienced VP Harris to fight ·         Fed will scru...

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19
Jul

U.K. and Canada Retail Sales, FOMC Members Williams and...

The U.S. dollar gained against most major currencies on Thursday recovering most of Wednesday’s losses, with the dollar index (USDX) extending its rally early on Friday to break ab...

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Nasdaq plunged on the concern of tech restrictions on China

Nasdaq plunged on the concern of tech restrictions on C...

·         At TTM EPS around $191 and recent high 5700, S&P-500 TTM PE is now almost around 30; at extreme bubble zone on hopes & hypes of Trump & Fed stimulus Wall Street was trad...

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18
Jul

ECB Interest Rates, U.S. Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Man...

The U.S. dollar fell for yet another session on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) down by 0.47%, breaking below the tight range seen in the last few sessions and hitting leve...

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Dow, gold soared on hopes of rate & tax cut stimulus in 2025

Dow, gold soared on hopes of rate & tax cut stimulus in...

·         Trump 2.0 may continue all aspects of TCJA-2017 with additional corporate & middle-class tax cut ·         Fed may start 11 QTR rate cuts cycle from Dec/Sep’24 ·         ...

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17
Jul

U.S. Building Permits, Industrial Production, FOMC Memb...

The U.S. dollar was almost unchanged against most major currencies on Tuesday, with the dollar index (USDX) down by 0.03%, fluctuating within a tight range between levels 103.71 an...

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Gold slip on less dovish Powell talks and hotter retail sales

Gold slip on less dovish Powell talks and hotter retail...

·         Powell indicated despite some progress, the Fed needs to have more confidence in Q3 for the pace of disinflation; the Fed may not cut from Sep’24 ·         Wall Street su...

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Top 10 Most Valuable Currencies in the World in 2024

Top 10 Most Valuable Currencies in the World in 2024

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16
Jul

U.S. Retail Sales, Canada CPI, FOMC’s Kugler Speaks

The U.S. dollar was trading between gains and losses against most majors in the last past few sessions, with the dollar index (USDX) showing little movement, fluctuating within a t...

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