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The USDX is trading on a negative note around 100 during Wednesday's Asian trading hours, retreating after reaching a three-month high of 100.12 on Tuesday, where it had moved 0.36% higher. The primary drag on the dollar is the US federal government shutdown, which, having entered its 36th day, is now set to become the longest in US history, raising concerns over its potential impact on the US economy. Despite this pressure, the USDX receives underlying support from the Federal Reserve's cautious policy stance. Following the October rate cut, Chair Jerome Powell's remarks that another cut this year was "not a foregone conclusion" have caused the market-implied likelihood of a December rate cut to fall from 93% to 70%.
Gold is edging higher during Wednesday's early European session, recovering some ground after recording a -1.57% loss on Tuesday. This modest uptick is primarily due to safe-haven flows driven by economic risks stemming from the ongoing US government shutdown, which is poised to become the longest ever this week. However, the upside for the precious metal is limited by a stronger US Dollar and fading expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Meanwhile, minor positive developments in US-China trade were noted, with both sides announcing tariff reductions on specific goods effective November 10th.
Asian equity markets were mixed on Wednesday, following Wall Street’s heavy overnight sell-off that was driven by investor concerns about stretched technology valuations. U.S. stock index futures also edged lower in Asian trading hours, with markets grappling with uncertainty over Federal Reserve policy and mixed messages from officials on the path of rate cuts.
Mainland Chinese shares ended the session higher despite the regional weakness. As of 07:58 AM GMT Wednesday, the China SSE was up 0.27%, and the China SZSE gained 0.36%. However, the Hong Kong 50 declined -0.45%. Investor sentiment remained cautious due to ongoing geopolitical risks, including the fragile US-China trade truce and renewed tensions over technology exports, specifically the US statement earlier this week reserving Nvidia’s most advanced Blackwell chips for domestic use. Limiting the downside, a private survey showed China's services sector grew slightly more than expected in October, though growth still cooled from the prior month. Japanese shares were lower, retreating from recent record high levels, dragged down by sharp declines in technology-related stocks. As of 07:58 AM GMT, the Japan 225 plunged -0.46%. The decline came after top US bank CEOs warned that markets could face a drawdown questioning the sustainability of the recent rally and fueling fears of a tech-driven market bubble.
The main US equity indices closed with heavy losses overnight, as a sell-off was sparked by warnings from top US bank CEOs regarding potentially stretched valuations and the sustainability of the recent rally, stoking fears of a tech-driven market bubble. Warnings from CEOs at firms like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley that the market should "welcome" the possibility of a 10%-15% correction weighed heavily on risk sentiment. The sell-off was compounded by lingering uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's rate path, despite comments from officials suggesting a December cut was still a possibility. The latest ISM manufacturing index showing US factory activity contracted for an eighth straight month also added to the cautious mood.
In individual stock news on Tuesday: Palantir Technologies stock fell -8.12% despite the data analytics firm posting record quarterly revenue and better-than-anticipated current-quarter sales, fueled by a boom in AI adoption. The market seemed to react negatively to other factors despite the strong underlying financial performance. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares dropped -3.56% ahead of its own earnings report, reflecting broader investor anxiety over valuations in the chip sector. Amazon shares closed -1.84% lowe despite a significant cloud deal between Amazon and OpenAI which helped prevent even broader declines in the main indices.
Traders are now focused on the release of key US economic data later on Wednesday, specifically the October private payroll (ADP Nonfarm Employment Change) and the ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports. The ADP report is projected to show a turnaround, with 25K jobs added versus a 32K loss in the previous reading.
The EUR/USD pair continued its downward trajectory on Tuesday as the Euro weakened against renewed US Dollar demand, marking its fifth consecutive day of losses.
The Euro’s decline has largely reflected broad USD strength rather than domestic eurozone developments, with limited economic releases leaving the single currency vulnerable to global market trends.
Investor sentiment toward the US Dollar has been supported by comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who last week described further rate cuts as “not a foregone conclusion” following the recent 25-basis-point reduction.
Looking ahead, market participants are turning their attention to key US economic indicators, including the ADP Employment Change and the ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), both due Wednesday. With the ongoing US government shutdown delaying official data releases, these private-sector indicators are increasingly relied upon for insights into hiring trends and broader service-sector activity.
In the Eurozone, traders will monitor the HCOB Services PMI and September Producer Price Index (PPI) for further cues on the economic backdrop. These releases will help determine whether the single currency’s recent weakness is likely to persist or if eurozone fundamentals may offer some support.
Gold prices dropped more than 1% on Tuesday as the US Dollar reached three-month highs, prompting investors to await key US economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves.
Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, Chair Jerome Powell indicated the move could be the last for the year. Market expectations for a December rate cut have dropped sharply, with the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showing a 71% probability for a cut on December 9-10, compared with over 90% a week earlier.
Gold, which does not yield interest, typically thrives in low-rate environments and amid economic uncertainty. The ongoing US government shutdown, now poised to become the longest ever, has stalled official data releases, pushing investors to rely on private reports such as the ADP National Employment Report, scheduled for Wednesday.
Despite the recent pullback, gold has surged 53% so far this year, though it has fallen more than 9% from its record high reached on October 20.
Oil prices slipped on Tuesday, pressured by persistent concerns over a looming supply glut and data showing an unexpected surge in U.S. crude inventories, sparking fears of weaker demand.
Earlier this week, prices had jumped after OPEC+ announced it would pause its planned production increases starting in the first quarter of 2026. However, market concerns over an oversupplied market remain, compounded by broader economic uncertainties in the U.S. and a fragile trade truce with China.
Data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed U.S. crude inventories increased by 6.5 million barrels in the week ending November 1, far above analysts’ expectations for a 2.4 million barrel draw.
The reading typically foreshadows the official Energy Information Administration (EIA) inventory report, due later on Wednesday. The sharp build in stockpiles has fueled concerns over sluggish U.S. fuel demand, especially as the ongoing government shutdown disrupts air travel across the country. The Senate remains deadlocked on further funding, showing little sign of resolution this week.
Global oil demand has also cooled steadily, partly due to sluggish growth in China, the world’s top oil importer, which is navigating tensions with the United States.
Combined with a strong U.S. dollar and uncertainty over the Fed’s December rate decisions, oil prices remained under pressure, offsetting any optimism from OPEC+’s production pause.
U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Tuesday as warnings from major bank CEOs raised concerns over stretched valuations and a potential market correction. The US 500 and US Tech 100 suffered their largest one-day percentage drops since October 10, with technology shares bearing the brunt of the decline.
The sell-off was triggered after executives at Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs cautioned that equity markets could be heading toward a drawdown, as the US 500 had climbed to a series of all-time highs, largely fueled by the ongoing artificial intelligence boom. Six of the “Magnificent Seven” AI-related momentum stocks lost ground, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 4.0%.
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which is approaching a record length, has further complicated the market outlook by delaying key official economic data. This has prompted investors to pay closer attention to private-sector indicators such as the ADP National Employment Report, due Wednesday. Federal Reserve officials’ remarks are also being carefully analyzed for insights into the central bank’s likely monetary policy path in the absence of timely government data.
Notable individual movers included Palantir Technologies, which slid 8.0% despite a better-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue forecast, continuing to reflect profit-taking after its 152% surge year-to-date while Uber declined 5.1% following a quarterly profit miss.
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